Despite Kitangi Brown Jackson’s nomination, Joe Biden lost African American voters

United States – This is a major step in the history of the United States. For the first time, an African American, Kitangi Brown Jackson, brought the case to the Supreme Court, the highest court in the country.

The US Senate confirmed this nomination by 53 votes (47 votes), Thursday, April 7. The first to meet with applause from the US House of Representatives News letterswhen it was the last step to be taken before Ketanji Brown Jackson was officially named.

Joe Biden is making good on one of his campaign promises, and it has been brought to the table after a disastrous start to the primary and three failures in Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada. His proposal to appoint a black woman to the Supreme Court had enabled him to win over African American voters in South Carolina, to reverse the trend, winning the Democratic primary and then the presidential election.

In the end, African Americans voted overwhelmingly for him against Republican Donald Trump in November 2020, with 92% of the vote. “This community traditionally votes Democrats,” recalls Mary Kristen Bonzum, a political science professor and former US journalist. But in South Carolina, Georgia, and even Michigan, their support was crucial. Biden would not have been elected without them.

Fall into the polls

Since then, the president has been disappointed. According to a YouGov poll (less)And the The president dropped from 76.2% positive opinions among African Americans in January 2021 to 67.9% at the end of March 2022, with the lowest level in October 2021, at 65.9%. If we compare the percentage of votes obtained during the presidential election, we find that it decreased by 25 points, as Marie-Christine Bonzum points out.

“It has lost a lot of support, especially among young people under the age of 35. This significant decline can be explained by economic reasons: the withdrawal from Afghanistan is seen as a failure and suffered by many African Americans in the military, an increase in crime that directly affects them, or even an illness Covid, with a death rate 2.5 times higher for them than for the rest of the population,” she explains.

Among other causes of dissatisfaction were the failure of electoral reform aimed at harmonizing voting rules and thus avoiding the hindrance of being victims of it, as well as the draft police law that wanted to revise the Rights and Training Act. An application to avoid tragedies such as the tragedies of Briona Taylor or George Floyd. Both failed to persuade lawmakers in Congress.

Biden, a virtual vote

For Marie Kristen Bonzum, this drop in polls is “not surprising”. Even before the election, there was hesitation toward Joe Biden. He was criticized for his racism — during the campaign, he said ‘You wouldn’t be black if you were planning to vote for Trump’ — or for his friendships with elected racist Democrats or for his support of anti-crime policy in the 1990s, the matter Which made the bottom camel stronger.”

The bottom line is, “If a majority of blacks vote Democrats, there is no enthusiasm for Biden. He was elected because he wasn’t Trump.” That sentiment is reflected in the general public: Joe Biden has not even reached 40% favorable opinions, below the level of his predecessor during the same term as his presidency.

Could Kitangi Brown-Jackson’s candidacy generate a wave of support as it did during the election campaign? The question arises more since the midterm elections will be held in seven months and the bitter failure of the Democratic Party is already expected. The nomination was well received, and reviews are very positive. This is an important, first step, and it is by no means a service, it is very qualified,” confirms Nicole Bacharan, co-author of the book The Great Days That Changed America. Shared opinion by all experts questioned Halfpost.

In a YouGov poll, the announcement of Judge Stephen Breyer’s resignation and replacement by Ketanji Brown Jackson also allowed the curve to rise. Since then, progress has been slow but steady. But Jean-Eric Brana, a lecturer at the University of Paris-2, refuses to see a real connection. “At the moment there is a spike, yes, but it must also be attributed to the Ukrainian crisis and the end of the Covid-19 crisis,” he rules.

The mid-termdeclared failure

What about the midterm elections? Another Morning Consult poll for Politico asked the African American community about their willingness to vote next November. At the beginning of March, 49% said they were “extremely” or “extremely” excited about the idea of ​​going to the polls, an 8-point increase since Ketanji Brown Jackson’s name was announced on February 25.

If Morning Consult finds a connection between the two, again, Jean-Eric Prana doesn’t want to hastily draw any conclusions. “This survey asks about the emotion of the moment. I don’t see any correlation there. All surveys on mid-term Null and void, we don’t even know which candidates we’ll have to vote for,” he explains.

Also for Marie Kristen Bonzum, the appointment of Kitangi Brown Jackson will not be decisive: “There will be little impact, on the sidelines, of renewed support in the coming days, but it will not last until November if the economic problems do not occur. Find out. Biden in limbo for all records”.

Nicole Bacharan shares this analysis. “Democrats will highlight this achievement,” he says. It might spur a small portion of the African American electorate to participate, but I doubt it would have a significant impact.” Disaster mid-term Sounds tough for Joe Biden.

See also on The HuffPost: One year after Capitol storm, Biden blames Trump

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